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April 29, 2004 12:00 AM

Apple Misses Music Sales Goals as Pepsi Promo Fizzles

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On the first anniversary of the launch of its iTunes Music Store, Apple announced that it has sold 70 million songs online, a tremendous achievement for such a nascent market, but far below the 100 million songs that CEO Steve Jobs promised. Furthermore, Apple's high profile song giveaway promotion with Pepsi has been a complete flop: Only 5 million songs have been redeemed, far fewer than the 100 million that have been circulated.

 

"iTunes has exceeded our wildest expectations during its first year," Jobs said, in a bit of hyperbole, given the 30 million song shortfall and the Pepsi debacle. Apple also quietly began retreating on its anti-Microsoft technology bent, adding support for Windows Media Audio (WMA) to iTunes 4.5, a new version of the player the company released yesterday. With the new version, iTunes users can't play WMA songs directly, but they can morph them into Apple's AAC format, and the resulting songs will play on Apple's hugely successful iPod (and iPod Mini, if you're on of the lucky few that got one).

 

There have been other changes in Apple's music strategy, some of which appear to be designed to head off competition from the Microsoft camp, which will soon mount a multi-pronged digital media attack. With iTunes 4.5, users can share music between up to five computers (up from three), and a new mixing feature will automatically set up playlists for parties and other events. Apple notes that the iTunes Music Store now sports 700,000 songs, up from 200,000 when the service first launched.

 

Some of the changes aren't so positive. With previous iTunes versions, users could make up to 10 mix CDs from the same playlist; that number has been dropped to 7. And though customers can purchase more music than ever from the online service, many albums on iTunes now cost significantly more than $9.99 because of price increases from the record companies.

 

Apple also refuses to budge from its buy-only, music-only strategy. Despite rumors that the company would introduce an iPod with a color screen, or a video iPod, Jobs says that iPods are about music only, and the company has no plans to venture from that niche. Furthermore, the subscription music services that are gaining traction on the PC side are unsuccessful, Jobs says. "People want to own their music," he noted in a conference call yesterday.

 

That's short-sighted. Late this summer, Microsoft and its many hardware partners will unveil a collection of portable media center devices and portable audio players that will be able to play back subscribed, and not just purchased, music. That means for a low monthly price--expected to be $10 to $20 a month depending on the service--customers will be able to stock their devices with a revolving inventory of 20 GB to 60 GB of content. Purchasing that content would be prohibitively expensive, backers of the scheme correctly note.

 

Despite the missed goals, it's impossible to underscore the important and far-reaching effects that iTunes has had on the music and consumer electronics industries. In a way, it's a shame that Jobs had to brag about the success he expected to achieve with the service, because iTunes, in fact, been hugely successful with an amazing number of songs sold. That misplaced bravado, the Pepsi debacle, and Apple's downplaying of markets for which it has no solution, suggest the company isn't prepared to innovate the next big consumer electronics push. And that's a shame: A video iPod with subscription services capabilities would have surely kept the Microsoft camp on the sidelines yet again.

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Comments
  • Dave
    8 years ago
    May 06, 2004

    all right, let's get one thing straight here. The online music market has quite a way to go still. It's quite a long way, but it is neither apple or microsoft or any one elses fault that this is happening. One of the biggest causes of this is still a generation gap. As someone who works in an electronics store and talks to ALOT of people about online music, the older generation still (for the most part) inherently distrusts online music, hell, the internet in general. and no, i'm not saying this is all of the older generation, but quite a few. The generation that grew up with the internet and will be the one's to really make services like these overtake other markets is still young, and are not in control of as much of the money currently in the economy as there parents are. It's the same thing as VoIP, even though it can save them money, it's basically asking them "hey, how bout i change the way you've dealt with the phone your whole life?" As far as subscription services, I think they have there good points and there bad points. I think Rhapsody is on the right track with 10 bucks a month and 79cent download, but i don't think they will entirely work til broadband becomes standard in all homes and they can work it down to something like 8 dollars a month and 50 cent downloads, which is highly unlikely from the record companies. And as far as the "CRAPPLE" and "MICROCRAP" debate.... Stop It!! Shut the Hell Up! honestly, yes, microsoft does alot of stupid stuff. But just because you support open source/mac/something else, don't expect every one else to switch over. Yes, your voice shouldn't be repressed yourself, but neither that of the other side. And even if your not a windows fanboy, the fact is there still by far the biggest out there, so adding "support", even if it is just a conversion, for there media format will only go to help there service. One of the reasons i think the pepsi/ipod failed (aside from poor pepsi distribution, yes i know) is the fact that the songs can only be output to an ipod. There's a hell of a lotta ppl out there that own an mp3 player out there (i've sold more than a few) and (here's a shocker to the mac crowd) NOT ALL OF THEM ARE IPODS. Not everyone needs a 10gb+ mp3 player, and if they can't output the files they dl to there 128 mb Rio, why bother? and yes, i know, they can still play them on there computer, but they then still need another program on there, aside from the music programs they already have on there, like winamp or (gasp) windows media player. Ah well, that's my rant. I'm sure some fanboy's going to use this to prove i'm gay now or something. BTW, I'm Bi-OS-ual, use windows box at home and work but mac for video editing projects.

  • David
    8 years ago
    May 03, 2004

    Apple announced that it has sold 70 million songs online, a tremendous achievement for such a nascent market, but far below the 100 million songs that CEO Steve Jobs promised.



    Oh wow, they were 30 million short. Are the people using WMA any better, or does this prove that the online music market has a long way to go?

  • Mike
    8 years ago
    May 03, 2004

    These MS/Apple flame wars are really tiresome. Any article that says anything about Apple short of adulation is attacked by the Mac loyalists, then the Gaters have to respond. I thought your article was a balanced attempt at analysis of the developing music download business -- obviously an important topic.

  • Smithy
    8 years ago
    May 03, 2004

    So.....
    The CRAPPLE crazies crawl out of the woodwork, and are as usual in denial, full of bile, sharp of tongue and full of so much hot air and very little substance. So what's new?

    Bottom line: No amount of spinning can change the fact: Steve Jobs loudly boasted he was going to sell 100 million units on Itunes by the one year anniversary mark. Steve Jobs and CRAPPLE failed misearbly to come even close to this figure. A massive 30% short no less! You can't spin that.LOL!

    Meanwhile, CRAPPLE's share of paid downloaded music has fallen sharply from over 90% 10 months ago to close to 50% today.
    Where is all that market share gone to?
    Why, to outfits using the best media player on the planet, Microsoft's Windows Media Player.
    Expect Microsoft's Media Player to have a bigger market share than CRAPPLE's Itunes by Christmas as kick ass outfits like Virgin and Microsoft themselves join awesome companies like Walmart and Napster in the Windows Media Player's corner.

    As usual, CRAPPLE is going to watch Microsoft eat their lunch yet again, without being able to do anything about it.
    But hey, that is something the CRAPPLE losers are pretty much used to by now. :)

  • David
    8 years ago
    May 01, 2004

    That's short-sighted. Late this summer, Microsoft and its many hardware partners will unveil a collection of portable media center devices and portable audio players that will be able to play back subscribed, and not just purchased, music. That means for a low monthly price--expected to be $10 to $20 a month depending on the service--customers will be able to stock their devices with a revolving inventory of 20 GB to 60 GB of content. Purchasing that content would be prohibitively expensive, backers of the scheme correctly note.



    Steve Jobs is dead right on this one. People may buy quite a bit of music in any given period to justify a suscription, but they are not going to do that every month. Buying music is not like broadband access, electricity or gas - and there is no way a music service is going to be viewed as such. Music is a discrete, impulse purchase that people buy when they want.



    All of the WMA music services so far have focused on people effectively renting their music collection for a monthly fee. No one wants it, which is why the WMA music services have been such an utter disaster. You might as well just listen to the radio - its cheaper. It has become very clear that absolutely no one realises this except Steve Jobs. There will be no world in which we have web services for everything, that are charged monthly. No one has that much money.

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