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January 05, 2010 12:00 AM

CES 2010 to Kick Off Amidst Apple Frenzy

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Tonight, I'll be flying to Las Vegas for the 2010 Consumer Electronics Show (CES), the largest trade show in North America with more than 120,000 attendees and the on-site presence of most of the top electronics and PC companies from around the globe. But there's one obvious holdout—iPhone and iPod maker Apple—from this otherwise hugely important show. And the company's shadow is again casting a pall over the proceedings.

What makes this year's CES odd, however, is that Apple isn't even holding its own Macworld Expo event at roughly the same time, as it has for many years. (Macworld organizer IDG is still putting on the show, but Apple isn't attending or presenting, which one has to assume spells the end of that little drama.) For years, Apple's less-well-attended show generated more buzz than CES did, a feat of marketing showmanship that's still hard to explain. And this year, Apple is doing it again—the buzz, not the show.

Despite never once admitting to developing such a device, Apple is reportedly preparing a tablet-like computer, or 3G-connected mobile Internet device, or ... something. This ... thing ... has captured the collective imagination of the tech press, the blogger goobership, and of course the general public. This despite the presence of Tablet PCs (since 2002, in a variety of form factors, and from many companies) and a host of mobile Internet devices (also from a wide range of companies) on the market. The difference, of course, is that this time Apple is (allegedly) making a tablet. So, of course, it's interesting. For some reason.

Decades ago, Apple used to attend CES, and its CEO of the day, John Sculley, even keynoted the event. But with the return of Steve Jobs in the late 1990s, Apple circled the wagons and stuck to Apple-oriented events and, more recently, special Apple-hosted events that it can schedule at will. There's been a lot of speculation that Apple can and should attend CES, with today's CEO Steve Jobs keynoting the event. Such a thing would be incredibly popular, no doubt, but Apple has shown little interest.

It doesn't need to. Virtually everything Apple has done post-Mac has turned to gold. Its iPod portable media players are the industry standard, their growth slowed only by the advent of the company's iPhone and the dominant iTunes Store that powers them both with music, movies, TV shows, apps, and other content. There's still plenty of room for the iPhone to grow—and Apple has already shipped three versions of that device in as many years—but the Cupertino company is now, if the rumors are correct, turning its attention to yet another market. Whatever that market is.

Meanwhile, in the Las Vegas desert, a host of Apple competitors are nervously setting up camp, despite the fact that many of them already field competitive smart phones, mobile Internet devices, computers, and related services. The reason is simple: Apple is a media darling and even in markets where the company is routinely trounced—like the PC market, where the Mac represents just 4 percent of worldwide sales—it receives an undue amount of attention. So it is with this tablet thing, whatever it is: Despite the fact that Apple's competitors have been selling tablet devices for years, no one cares. Apple is entering the market! Maybe. And if it does—when it does—many presume it will immediately make a difference.

But back to CES, the massive technology backstory that is currently unfolding in Las Vegas. This week, Microsoft CEO Steve Ballmer will deliver a keynote address in which he will no doubt heavily promote the company's consumer successes, like the recently launched Windows 7, the Xbox 360 video game system, and the, um ... well, some other stuff too. I asked Microsoft what it had planned for the show and was told not to expect too much. This from a company that makes MP3 players (Zune), a smart phone OS (Windows Mobile), automotive electronics (Ford Sync), Internet services (Windows Live, Bing), and much more that can and should be of interest to consumers.

It's hard to fight the Apple buzz, especially when the collective media horde is more interested in a single Apple product that may or may not exist (and isn't being announced this week regardless) than it is in any of the products that will debut at CES this week. What else could go wrong?

Oh, right. Google is going to announce its Nexus One smart phone today. Great.

See you in Las Vegas!

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Comments
  • Andrew
    2 years ago
    Jan 07, 2010

    Uh-Oh!

    http://www.pcworld.com/article/186172/why_the_microsofthp_tablet_is_a_big_disappointment.html

  • Chris
    2 years ago
    Jan 06, 2010

    @me (i guess)

    Or not. Turns out the NY Times *shudder* was wrong!

  • Chris
    2 years ago
    Jan 06, 2010

    And we'll get to see Microsoft/HP's offering first

    http://bits.blogs.nytimes.com/2010/01/05/ahead-of-apple-microsoft-and-hp-to-reveal-slate-pc/

  • Christopher
    2 years ago
    Jan 06, 2010

    "Apple had the Newton"

    Which means nothing since it was a total failure and didn't run the same OS as the core hardware platform. That's just gasping for reasons to give Apple credit when in fact business and history proved it to be a huge tactical mistake of theirs. And the problem is they *did* build a Newton ecosystem, so they ended up blowing away a lot of third party developers in that deal.

    MS was the first with a modern iteration. But they never dumped the darn keyboard... It was just bizarre. Microsoft can never build computers, because they would be sued by every government everywhere, and on top of that they rely on parters who make everything *for business* and port them to consumer lines.

    Apple makes everything for consumers, and sees if they can make money off it in a business setting (which usually they can't, so they don't even try). The target focus is vastly different and gives them each an edge among their respective target demographics. And guess what? If you have a single consumer-only brand competing against tons of business ones. It's like Fox News vs. everyone. One gets all the viewers in their constituency, the others split the rest of the pie. Apple is presently hanging out alone in that regard -- which is obviously making them a lot of money.

    I'm sure MS would love a CE focused partner, but alas there are *none*. Sony is the closest, but even their stuff follows a standard business idiom of design and development (just looks physically better than Dell, etc). There are a lot of very bright people at MS who are just as frustrated about this.

    MS also understands they built their $300B company on a partnership model, and you can't jeopardize that because of recent challengers having CE success.

    Mind you I'm not apologizing for anyone. Both companies are firmly ensconced in their present situation and their core demos aren't going to be changing.

  • subzerohitman721
    2 years ago
    Jan 06, 2010

    lotsa,

    I'm going to also call you out for your revisionist history BS too.

    Touch was actually invented by Doctor Sam Hurst in 1971, founder of Elographics. 5 years before Apple ever existed. In 1974, the first true touchscreen incorporating a transparent surface came on the scene developed by Sam Hurst and Elographics. 2 years before Apple ever existed. Apple was founded in 1976, 2 years after the first real touchscreen existed. Elographics is now Elo TouchSystems.

    In other words, while Apple did invent the first PDA, the touch technology was not ever invented by Apple. It had nothing to do with the technology. They simply licensed touch technology from another vendor to create the device. Mr. Hurst still has his patents on 2 of the original touch technologies. You can look it up if your interested. So while the Newton was revolutionary, it wasn't this huge Earth shattering experience.

    The Newton is considered one of the biggest tech flops of the 1990's. It was Palm that actually successfully marketed PDA's. Now PDA's have merged with phones, hence the term Smartphone.

    So Apple is merely re-engineering one of it's worst failures into a successful product almost 17 years after the Newton's introduction in 1993. While I'm sure it will be a good product & people will buy it.

    However, as much as you guys complain about Microsoft not innovating, Apple really is no different. They didn't invent touch and all Apple is doing is pulling a Microsoft. Taking somebody's concept and improving it. That's not innovation at all. Since tablet's have been around since 2001, Apple is now 9 years late to the party. Johnny Come Lately indeed.

    While you say that Microsoft Ecosystem doesn't generate excitement, I think Windows 7 success very much contradicts & kills your assessment. I figure that outselling Vista's launch by 234% from Amazon.com, is still outpacing every Mac OS release in Apple history. Apple never had more than 24 percent of the desktop market. 17 years dominant.

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