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September 19, 2006 12:00 AM

Allchin: 200 Million Windows Vista Users in 24 Months

Windows IT Pro
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In an open letter to developers, Microsoft Co-President of Platforms andServices Division Jim Allchin predicted that there would be more than 200 million people using Windows Vista within two years of its January 2007 launch. This, he says, is an opportunity that hasn't arisen since Windows 95, which was released over 11 years ago.

"We are very close to being done," Allchin wrote. "Are you ready for Windows Vista? We know the world is! Barring any unforeseen quality issues such as bugs around data corruption, resiliency, or security, we remain on track for business availability of Windows Vista later this year, with our consumer launch in January."

In the letter, Allchin calls on developers to start developing software that is "new, compelling, and cool ... More than 1000 companies are engaged in our early adopter programs, and some of the initial work I've seen has simply blown me away. People will just love these applications--from new [DirectX 10] games to cool Sidebar gadgets to new rich visual enterprise applications." For examples of these types of solutions, he points developers to a showcase of Vista applications at the URL below.

   http://www.seewindowsvista.com/

Aside from the message to developers, Mr. Allchin appears to be sending a message to everyone who's following the development of Microsoft's latest OS: Vista is on track and will ship according to the company's publicly divulged schedule. "The time we ship ... is very soon," he concludes. This timeframe has been corroborated by my contacts. I'm told that Microsoft will ship a final external prerelease version of Vista, probably build 5728, sometime this week, and then finalize the product in October. Microsoft still plans to ship volume-licensed versions of Vista to business customers in November and will launch the product to consumers in January.

You can read Jim Allchin's "Windows Vista: Now Is the Time" letter at:

http://msdn.microsoft.com/windowsvista/letter/default.aspx

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Comments
  • Preston
    6 years ago
    Sep 21, 2006

    "So let me get this straight: a video driver update causes the printing functionality in your in-house app to break?"

    Yes. It is not an in-house app but an industry contracting application whose display formatting goes haywire with a certain version of Dell's integrated video driver.

    "Something doesn't seem right here. How can a video driver affect printing functionality?""

    This isn't hard to figure out. The program uses the same formatting code for its display as it does to print (and both are broken when the video driver is upgraded). It's a legacy application that was patched for 2000/XP support but is still quirky. However, it's an essential app. This is an extremely common situation in the business world.

    "Actually, I was personally involved in rolling out Win XP to about 1200 PCs. Its called imaging and PXE installation. It took us 6 months including troubleshooting, 6 months from Win2000 to XP. if you havn't switched in 2 years, its lazy."

    Utterly ridiculous. Just because your business doesn't use in-house infrastructure that breaks with a new version of Windows does not make anyone else "lazy" because they don't rush out and buy a new version of Windows and risk their business months of time and money. If everything already works, can you explain why we should buy a new version of Windows? We've already standardized, so why should we keep giving Microsoft money? That's like telling me I have to replace my 2000 automobile because the 2006 versions are out, even though my old car works just fine. I find your claims of involvement in that kind of Windows transition suspect, given your amateur attitudes.

    Since people are being so silly here, I though I'd post this. According to NetApplications, Apple's market share has actually risen 24% year-over-year:
    http://switchtoamac.com/site/apples-mac-os-market-share-rises-24-percent-year-over-year.html

  • Shravan
    6 years ago
    Sep 20, 2006

    "I think that Microsoft will probably take even more market share with Vista."

    If it turns out to be as good as we've been told it is.

  • Joe
    6 years ago
    Sep 20, 2006

    "Ballmer's retarded rant?" Please!

    The new API's and frameworks are wow-ing developers right now even during the beta stage (which is when they should be anyway, so they can finish development and have a simultaneous release with Windows Vista). WinFX is lookin pritty sweet!....

    "he'll have enough of his MS stock cashed out to enjoy the rest of his years"

    That's called capitalism, my friend!

  • Vandil
    6 years ago
    Sep 20, 2006

    All he is doing is putting a better face on Ballmer's retarded rant ("developers, developers, developers, developers, developers, developers, developers").

    Allchin is only enthused about Vista's release because he said he's quitting Microsoft after it ships. He could care less if it actually hits that benchmark -- he'll have enough of his MS stock cashed out to enjoy the rest of his years.

  • Joe
    6 years ago
    Sep 20, 2006

    I think that Microsoft will probably take even more market share with Vista. Does anyone actually believe that Linux is going to take any new ground this time around?? I mean seriously, none of the dists have really even come close to looking like a polished 1.0 product that offers that kind of usability for the end user. The bundled apps are always third-party made. If anything, I think Macs will be the one to push Linux out of the market, not Windows. That said, I agree that Apple not gaining any real ground on what they purport to be a "superior" OS is really quite funny, and true. Microsoft doesn't bash Macs - Bill Gates has been quoted as saying he likes them too. Also, this whole marketing campaign saying that Macs don't get viruses and spyware is WRONG and irresponsible on Apple's part. Symantec has proven that there is malware "in-the-wild" and the Blackhat conference proved that there are security holes. Denying it to the people that are affected (read: infected) is a slap in the face because by saying its not a problem sounds like you're saying that they're getting a virus or spyware by design (in Apple methodology, it means "fashionable"...to get malware). Security is everyone's problem. Being in IT at all means that you understand that it's part of the nature of the business. Apple should be working on a major new OS (OS11) if they wanna catch up to Windows, not just another point release.

    BTW: talking about the competition in this post is relevent since it's clearly about market share and the other dirty little word starting with a "p"......penetration!

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